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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 27, 2023 at 6pm UK
MFA Centenary Stadium
F91 Dudelange

Gzira
2 - 0
Dudelange

Macula (54'), Scerri (79')
Mendonza (76'), Ellul (80'), Macula (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Roemer (15'), Diouf (55')
Roemer (60')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Gzira United and F91 Dudelange.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gzira United

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Last Game: Glentoran 1-1 Gzira (13-14 pen.)
Thursday, July 20 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
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F91 Dudelange

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Last Game: St Patrick's 2-3 Dudelange
Thursday, July 20 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gzira United win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for F91 Dudelange had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gzira United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest F91 Dudelange win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gzira United would win this match.

Result
Gzira UnitedDrawF91 Dudelange
45.98% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)24.44%29.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 57.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.78% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)45.22% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.43% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)67.56% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
Gzira United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.22% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)19.78% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.17% (0.00099999999999767 0)51.83% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
F91 Dudelange Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.42% (0.007000000000005 0.01)28.58% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.63% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)64.37% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Gzira United 45.98%
    F91 Dudelange 29.57%
    Draw 24.44%
Gzira UnitedDrawF91 Dudelange
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 9.16% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 7.42% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 5.02%
3-0 @ 4.01% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.03%
4-0 @ 1.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3%
Total : 45.98%
1-1 @ 11.47%
2-2 @ 5.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.65% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.44%
1-2 @ 7.19% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 7.08% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.43%
1-3 @ 3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.85%
1-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 29.57%

How you voted: Gzira vs Dudelange

Gzira United
44.4%
Draw
22.2%
F91 Dudelange
33.3%
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