Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 1
Oct 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Park Hall Stadium

New Saints
1 - 2
Caernarfon

Smith (12')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Clarke (33'), Lloyd (82')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between The New Saints and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

The New Saints

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-0 New Saints
Thursday, October 3 at 8pm in Conference League

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Cardiff MU 1-2 Caernarfon
Saturday, October 5 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 85.36%. A draw had a probability of 9.3% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 5.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (8%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.9%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 1-2 (1.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
The New SaintsDrawCaernarfon Town
85.36% (-1.184 -1.18)9.27% (0.556 0.56)5.36% (0.6231 0.62)
Both teams to score 55.74% (2.166 2.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
80.71% (0.151 0.15)19.28% (-0.155 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
62.93% (0.218 0.22)37.06% (-0.223 -0.22)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.92% (-0.125 -0.13)3.08% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
86.2% (-0.43000000000001 -0.43)13.8% (0.425 0.43)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.51% (2.307 2.31)42.49% (-2.31 -2.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.14% (1.913 1.91)78.85% (-1.917 -1.92)
Score Analysis
    The New Saints 85.36%
    Caernarfon Town 5.36%
    Draw 9.27%
The New SaintsDrawCaernarfon Town
3-0 @ 9.19% (-0.444 -0.44)
4-0 @ 8% (-0.484 -0.48)
2-0 @ 7.92% (-0.287 -0.29)
3-1 @ 7.87% (0.13 0.13)
4-1 @ 6.85% (0.035 0.04)
2-1 @ 6.78% (0.189 0.19)
5-0 @ 5.57% (-0.405 -0.41)
5-1 @ 4.77% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-0 @ 4.55% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.37% (0.261 0.26)
6-0 @ 3.23% (-0.275 -0.28)
4-2 @ 2.93% (0.196 0.2)
6-1 @ 2.77% (-0.05 -0.05)
5-2 @ 2.04% (0.114 0.11)
7-0 @ 1.61% (-0.157 -0.16)
7-1 @ 1.38% (-0.041 -0.04)
6-2 @ 1.18% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 5.36%
Total : 85.36%
1-1 @ 3.9% (0.152 0.15)
2-2 @ 2.9% (0.255 0.26)
0-0 @ 1.31% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.129 0.13)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 9.27%
1-2 @ 1.67% (0.164 0.16)
0-1 @ 1.12% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 5.36%

How you voted: New Saints vs Caernarfon

The New Saints
66.7%
Draw
0.0%
Caernarfon Town
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Apr 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
New Saints
7-1
Caernarfon
McManus (7', 59' pen.), Clark (13'), Cieslewicz (16', 47'), Redmond (22'), Hudson (90')
Lloyd (72')
Maher (33')
Maher (33')
Feb 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Caernarfon
1-8
New Saints
Bradley (7')
Young (2', 34', 49'), Cieslewicz (30', 31'), Holden (55', 90'), Hudson (85')
Young (73')
Dec 26, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
New Saints
2-1
Caernarfon
Williams (78'), Marriott (81')
Roberts (14'), Davies (45+1'), Davies (45+1'), Williams (82')
Lloyd (13')
Wynne (82')
Sep 26, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Caernarfon
1-3
New Saints
Davies (6')
Clark (58'), Williams (63'), Brobbel (76')
Jan 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Caernarfon
0-1
New Saints
McManus (72')