Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Briton Ferry had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.98%) and 2-0 (5.67%). The likeliest Briton Ferry win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon Town	Draw	Briton Ferry
40.39% ( -0.08)	23.62% ( 0.2)	35.99% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 62.78% (

-0.76)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.89% (

-0.98)

39.11% (

0.98)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.56% (

-1.04)

61.44% (

1.04)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.3% (

-0.45)

19.7% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.29% (

-0.74)

51.71% (

0.74)

Briton Ferry Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.18% (

-0.51)

21.82% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.96% (

-0.78)

55.04% (

0.78)

Score Analysis

Caernarfon Town 40.39%

Briton Ferry 35.99%

Draw 23.62%

Caernarfon Town	Draw	Briton Ferry
2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.2% Total : 40.39%	1-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.62%	1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.53% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 35.99%