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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 3
Aug 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
0 - 4
Caernarfon


Jones (24'), Owen (40')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mooney (6'), Davies (69'), Clarke (89'), Sutton (90+4' og.)
Sutton (22'), Sharp (36'), Downey (43'), Mendes (83')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 0-0 Newtown
Friday, August 16 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Caernarfon 1-2 Haverfordwest
Saturday, August 17 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 65.55%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 16.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.73%) and 3-1 (7.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.45%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 1-2 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawCaernarfon Town
65.55% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)17.76% (0.027000000000001 0.03)16.69% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 64.13% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.34% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)28.66% (0.053999999999998 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.44% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)49.55% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.73% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)8.27% (0.0289 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.11% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)28.89% (0.073 0.07)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.91% (0.010999999999996 0.01)30.09% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.77% (0.013000000000005 0.01)66.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 65.55%
    Caernarfon Town 16.69%
    Draw 17.76%
Newtown AFCDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 9.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 7.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.42% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.2% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 4% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.89% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 2.4% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.44% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.16% (-0.002 -0)
6-1 @ 1% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 65.55%
1-1 @ 7.45% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 2.49% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.85% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 17.76%
1-2 @ 4.47% (0.011 0.01)
0-1 @ 2.99% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 1.8% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.79% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 16.69%

Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Newtown
5-0
Caernarfon
Williams (35', 54'), Hughes (64'), Ismail (77' pen.), Robles (90+4')
Sutton (41')

Mooney (90+3')
Mar 1, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Caernarfon
1-0
Newtown
Gosset (37')

Sutton (90+5')
Oct 7, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Newtown
4-0
Caernarfon
Williams (40', 45+3', 71'), Sears (85')
Evans (51'), Sutton (57'), Cowans (73'), Sears (77'), Mills-Evans (89'), Jones (90+3')

Donohue (90+5')
Aug 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Caernarfon
2-1
Newtown
Mooney (40'), Lloyd (90+1')
Clarke (45+4'), Davies (53'), Mooney (60'), Thomas (84')
Davies (82')
Williams (90+10')
Evans (18'), Roberts (68'), Ismail (80'), Boakye (84')
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Caernarfon
2-3
Newtown
O'Rourke (30'), Edwards (62')
Robles (8'), Williams (27'), Rushton (53')