Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 43.47%. A win for Briton Ferry had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.59%) and 3-1 (5.32%). The likeliest Briton Ferry win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.