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Conference League | League Stage
Oct 3, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
2 - 0
New Saints

Adli (65'), Kean (69')
Kouame (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Williams (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Fiorentina and The New Saints, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Empoli 0-0 Fiorentina
Sunday, September 29 at 5pm in Serie A

The New Saints

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Newtown 1-6 New Saints
Friday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 56.68%. A win for The New Saints had a probability of 22.23% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.93%) and 1-0 (7.69%). The likeliest The New Saints win was 1-2 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawThe New Saints
56.68% (-0.746 -0.75)21.09% (0.417 0.42)22.23% (0.331 0.33)
Both teams to score 61.69% (-1.058 -1.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.86% (-1.593 -1.59)36.14% (1.593 1.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.75% (-1.768 -1.77)58.25% (1.769 1.77)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.3% (-0.724 -0.72)12.7% (0.725 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.1% (-1.516 -1.52)38.9% (1.518 1.52)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.66% (-0.621 -0.62)29.33% (0.622 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.69% (-0.766 -0.77)65.31% (0.76900000000001 0.77)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 56.68%
    The New Saints 22.23%
    Draw 21.09%
FiorentinaDrawThe New Saints
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.065 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.93% (0.189 0.19)
1-0 @ 7.69% (0.391 0.39)
3-1 @ 6.69% (-0.145 -0.15)
3-0 @ 5.46% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.1% (-0.162 -0.16)
4-1 @ 3.45% (-0.176 -0.18)
4-0 @ 2.82% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-2 @ 2.12% (-0.146 -0.15)
5-1 @ 1.43% (-0.116 -0.12)
5-0 @ 1.16% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 56.68%
1-1 @ 9.43% (0.323 0.32)
2-2 @ 5.97% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-0 @ 3.72% (0.287 0.29)
3-3 @ 1.68% (-0.096 -0.1)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 21.09%
1-2 @ 5.78% (0.101 0.1)
0-1 @ 4.57% (0.278 0.28)
0-2 @ 2.8% (0.125 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.36%
0-3 @ 1.15% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 22.23%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs New Saints

Fiorentina
94.5%
Draw
5.5%
The New Saints
0.0%
73