Conference League
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Yacine Adli
65'
-
Moise Kean
69'
-
Christian Kouame
87'
-
Daniel Williams
56'
Fiorentina vs The New Saints - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 56.68%. A win for The New Saints had a probability of 22.23% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.93%) and 1-0 (7.69%). The likeliest The New Saints win was 1-2 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
Result
Fiorentina
56.68%
▼
(-0.75)
Draw
21.09%
▲
(+0.42)
The New Saints
22.23%
▲
(+0.34)
Both Teams to Score:
61.69%
▼
(-1.06)
Goals
Over 2.5
63.86%
▼
(-1.60)
Under 2.5
36.14%
▲
(+1.60)
Over 3.5
41.75%
▼
(-1.77)
Under 3.5
58.25%
▲
(+1.77)
Over 4.5
23.56%
▼
(-1.48)
Under 4.5
76.44%
▲
(+1.48)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5
87.3%
▼
(-0.73)
Under 0.5
12.7%
▲
(+0.73)
Over 1.5
61.1%
▼
(-1.52)
Under 1.5
38.9%
▲
(+1.52)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5
70.66%
▼
(-0.63)
Under 0.5
29.33%
▲
(+0.63)
Over 1.5
34.69%
▼
(-0.77)
Under 1.5
65.31%
▲
(+0.77)
Score analysis
Fiorentina
56.68%
Draw
21.09%
The New Saints
22.23%
Fiorentina
2-1
@
9.73%
▲
(+0.07)
2-0 @ 7.93% ▲ (+0.19)
1-0 @ 7.69% ▲ (+0.40)
3-1 @ 6.69% ▼ (-0.15)
3-0 @ 5.46% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 4.1% ▼ (-0.17)
4-1 @ 3.45% ▼ (-0.18)
4-0 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.10)
4-2 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.15)
5-1 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.12)
5-0 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 56.68%
2-0 @ 7.93% ▲ (+0.19)
1-0 @ 7.69% ▲ (+0.40)
3-1 @ 6.69% ▼ (-0.15)
3-0 @ 5.46% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 4.1% ▼ (-0.17)
4-1 @ 3.45% ▼ (-0.18)
4-0 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.10)
4-2 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.15)
5-1 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.12)
5-0 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 56.68%
Draw
1-1
@
9.43%
▲
(+0.33)
2-2 @ 5.97% ▼ (-0.07)
0-0 @ 3.72% ▲ (+0.29)
3-3 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 21.09%
2-2 @ 5.97% ▼ (-0.07)
0-0 @ 3.72% ▲ (+0.29)
3-3 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 21.09%
The New Saints
1-2
@
5.78%
▲
(+0.11)
0-1 @ 4.57% ▲ (+0.28)
0-2 @ 2.8% ▲ (+0.13)
2-3 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 2.36%
0-3 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 22.23%
0-1 @ 4.57% ▲ (+0.28)
0-2 @ 2.8% ▲ (+0.13)
2-3 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 2.36%
0-3 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 22.23%