Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 6

Sep 29, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stadio Carlo Castellani

Empoli
0 - 0
Fiorentina

Comuzzo (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A derby between Empoli and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Empoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Torino 1-2 Empoli
Tuesday, September 24 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Lazio
Sunday, September 22 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 26.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Empoli	Draw	Fiorentina
26.47% ( -0.95)	26.22% ( -0.15)	47.31% ( 1.11)

Both teams to score 49.46% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.57% (

0.01)

54.44% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.2% (

0.01)

75.8% (

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.24% (

-0.78)

35.76% (

0.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.47% (

-0.81)

72.53% (

0.82)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.99% (

0.52)

23.01% (

-0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.19% (

0.75)

56.81% (

-0.75)

Score Analysis

Empoli 26.47%

Fiorentina 47.3%

Draw 26.22%

Empoli	Draw	Fiorentina
1-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.97% Total : 26.47%	1-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8.23% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.22%	0-1 @ 12.08% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 9.13% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 8.88% ( 0.27) 1-3 @ 4.47% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 4.35% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.85% Total : 47.3%