Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 47.82%. A win for Monza had a probability of 26.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | Monza |
| 47.82% ( | 25.94% ( | 26.23% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.09% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.47% ( | 53.52% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.96% ( | 75.04% ( |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.61% ( | 22.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.1% ( | 55.89% ( |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.54% ( | 35.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.78% ( | 72.22% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Empoli | Draw | Monza |
| 1-0 @ 11.88% ( 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 2-0 @ 8.89% ( 3-1 @ 4.6% ( 3-0 @ 4.44% ( 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 4-0 @ 1.66% ( Other @ 3.03% Total : 47.82% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( 0-0 @ 7.94% ( 2-2 @ 4.78% ( Other @ 0.91% Total : 25.94% | 0-1 @ 8.23% ( 1-2 @ 6.39% ( 0-2 @ 4.27% ( 1-3 @ 2.21% ( 2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0-3 @ 1.48% ( Other @ 2.01% Total : 26.23% |