Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 36.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Palermo win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Monza	Draw	Palermo
38.11% ( 0.02)	24.91% ( -0.02)	36.97% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 58.08% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.76% (

0.12)

45.24% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.42% (

0.11)

67.58% (

-0.11)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.52% (

0.07)

23.48% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.49% (

0.09)

57.51% (

-0.09)

Palermo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.91% (

0.06)

24.09% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.62% (

0.08)

58.38% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Monza 38.12%

Palermo 36.97%

Draw 24.9%

Monza	Draw	Palermo
2-1 @ 8.45% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.2% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.08% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.87% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.1% Total : 38.12%	1-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.9%	1-2 @ 8.3% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.72% 1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 1.99% Total : 36.97%