Serie B | Gameweek 38
May 10, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Marco Druso

Sudtirol
0 - 1
Palermo


Kofler (19'), Merkaj (21'), Vinetot (74'), Molina (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Diakite (64')
Nedelcearu (52'), Lucioni (59'), Soleri (90+5')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Sudtirol and Palermo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pisa 2-2 Sudtirol
Sunday, May 5 at 2pm in Serie B
Last Game: Palermo 2-2 Ascoli
Sunday, May 5 at 2pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 40.54%. A win for Sudtirol had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Sudtirol win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Palermo in this match.

Result
SudtirolDrawPalermo
32.39% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)27.07% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)40.54% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 50.1% (0.017999999999994 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.87% (0.024999999999999 0.02)55.13% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.62% (0.021000000000001 0.02)76.38% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Sudtirol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.34% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)31.66% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.93% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)68.07% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Palermo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.3% (0.027000000000001 0.03)26.69% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.05% (0.036000000000001 0.04)61.95% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Sudtirol 32.39%
    Palermo 40.54%
    Draw 27.06%
SudtirolDrawPalermo
1-0 @ 9.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.38% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 5.59% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.83% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.87% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 32.39%
1-1 @ 12.83% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.45% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.88% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.06%
0-1 @ 11.16%
1-2 @ 8.48% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 7.37% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 3.73% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.25% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.23% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.07% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 40.54%

How you voted: Sudtirol vs Palermo

Sudtirol
40.0%
Draw
40.0%
Palermo
20.0%
10
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 8
Palermo
2-1
Sudtirol
Ceccaroni (48'), Aurelio (89')
Segre (21'), Corini (22'), Stulac (33'), Coulibaly (61'), Aurelio (90'), Gomes (90+7')
Ciervo (38')
Cuomo (40'), Poluzzi (43'), Cagnano (90+7')
Feb 25, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 26
Sudtirol
1-1
Palermo
Cisse (5')
Soleri (48')
Oct 1, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 7
Palermo
0-1
Sudtirol
Odogwu (20')