Serie B | Gameweek 37
May 5, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Renzo Barbera

Palermo
2 - 2
Ascoli

Brunori (1'), Soleri (34')
Diakite (16'), Henderson (64'), Henderson (73'), Lucioni (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Caligara (27', 90+3')
Di Tacchio (45+1')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Palermo and Ascoli.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spezia 1-0 Palermo
Wednesday, May 1 at 2pm in Serie B
Last Game: Ascoli 0-1 Cosenza
Wednesday, May 1 at 2pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
PalermoDrawAscoli
43.28% (-0.558 -0.56)26.98% (-0.275 -0.27)29.74% (0.836 0.84)
Both teams to score 49.31% (1.232 1.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.36% (1.365 1.36)55.64% (-1.364 -1.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.2% (1.104 1.1)76.8% (-1.103 -1.1)
Palermo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.51% (0.336 0.34)25.49% (-0.333 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.67% (0.455 0.45)60.33% (-0.453 -0.45)
Ascoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.18% (1.362 1.36)33.82% (-1.36 -1.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.52% (1.448 1.45)70.48% (-1.446 -1.45)
Score Analysis
    Palermo 43.28%
    Ascoli 29.74%
    Draw 26.98%
PalermoDrawAscoli
1-0 @ 11.78% (-0.51 -0.51)
2-1 @ 8.73% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.05% (-0.273 -0.27)
3-1 @ 3.98% (0.053 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.67% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.16% (0.105 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.25% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 43.28%
1-1 @ 12.77% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 8.62% (-0.464 -0.46)
2-2 @ 4.73% (0.189 0.19)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.98%
0-1 @ 9.35% (-0.145 -0.15)
1-2 @ 6.93% (0.213 0.21)
0-2 @ 5.07% (0.108 0.11)
1-3 @ 2.5% (0.165 0.17)
0-3 @ 1.83% (0.104 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.128 0.13)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 29.74%

Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 5
Ascoli
0-1
Palermo

Viali (25')
Mancuso (90+2')
Aurelio (24'), Coulibaly (89')
Jan 29, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 22
Ascoli
1-2
Palermo
Forte (64')
Brunori (15', 82')
Aug 27, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Palermo
2-3
Ascoli
Brunori (36'), Segre (63')
Crivello (32'), Valente (60')
Valente (89')
Gondo (27', 45+5', 52')
Gondo (45+3'), Donati (76'), Leali (82')
May 4, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 37
Ascoli
1-2
Palermo
Addae (63')
Casarini (80')
Moreo (60'), Haas (86')
Moreo (65'), Rajkovic (73'), Jajalo (76'), Szyminski (85')
Dec 27, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 18
Palermo
3-0
Ascoli
Perucchini (26' og.), Chochev (74'), Szyminski (87')
Jajalo (58')

Addae (68')