Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 44.46%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 27.25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.91%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Cosenza Calcio win it was 0-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.