Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 53.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 22.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.