Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 51.35%. A win for Catanzaro had a probability of 25.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Catanzaro win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.