Venezia
Serie B | 2nd Leg
May 24, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Pierluigi Penzo

Venezia
2 - 1
Palermo

Tessmann (4'), Candela (43')
Joronen (27'), Tessmann (42'), Zampano (72')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Svoboda (86' og.)
Graves (10'), Di Francesco (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie B clash between Venezia and Palermo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Venezia

All competitions
Last Game: Palermo 0-1 Venezia
Monday, May 20 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Palermo

All competitions
Last Game: Palermo 0-1 Venezia
Monday, May 20 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 48.31%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 27.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Palermo win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Venezia in this match.

Result
VeneziaDrawPalermo
48.31% (-2.002 -2)24.12% (0.536 0.54)27.57% (1.47 1.47)
Both teams to score 56.96% (-0.522 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.98% (-1.274 -1.27)45.02% (1.279 1.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.63% (-1.235 -1.24)67.37% (1.24 1.24)
Venezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.26% (-1.262 -1.26)18.74% (1.267 1.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.88% (-2.161 -2.16)50.12% (2.165 2.17)
Palermo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.1% (0.444 0.44)29.9% (-0.439 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34% (0.532 0.53)66% (-0.527 -0.53)
Score Analysis
    Venezia 48.31%
    Palermo 27.57%
    Draw 24.11%
VeneziaDrawPalermo
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.137 -0.14)
1-0 @ 9.38% (0.134 0.13)
2-0 @ 7.86% (-0.211 -0.21)
3-1 @ 5.29% (-0.301 -0.3)
3-0 @ 4.39% (-0.306 -0.31)
3-2 @ 3.2% (-0.14 -0.14)
4-1 @ 2.22% (-0.224 -0.22)
4-0 @ 1.84% (-0.21 -0.21)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.117 -0.12)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 48.31%
1-1 @ 11.32% (0.29 0.29)
2-2 @ 5.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.6% (0.302 0.3)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.11%
1-2 @ 6.84% (0.26 0.26)
0-1 @ 6.77% (0.442 0.44)
0-2 @ 4.08% (0.314 0.31)
1-3 @ 2.75% (0.137 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.3% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.64% (0.144 0.14)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 27.57%

How you voted: Venezia vs Palermo

Venezia
85.2%
Draw
11.1%
Palermo
3.7%
27
Head to Head
May 20, 2024 7.30pm
Palermo
0-1
Venezia

Lucioni (33'), Diakite (64')
Pierini (62')
Vanoli (48'), Steinn Bjarkason (64'), Idzes (64'), Candela (71'), Busio (76'), Lella (77')
Mar 15, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 30
Palermo
0-3
Venezia

Ceccaroni (63')
Pohjanpalo (18', 30'), Gytkjaer (90+2')
Altare (61')
Sep 26, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 7
Venezia
1-3
Palermo
Pohjanpalo (45+5')
Busio (12')
Brunori (9' pen., 62', 90+2')
Corini (13'), Lucioni (32'), Gomes (45+7')
Apr 15, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 33
Venezia
3-2
Palermo
Johnsen (19'), Pohjanpalo (61' pen.), Tessmann (63')
Brunori (5'), Tutino (86' pen.)
Nov 27, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 14
Palermo
0-1
Venezia
Pohjanpalo (65')