Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 58.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 20.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Monza	Draw	Sassuolo
58.14% ( 0.01)	21.44% ( -0.23)	20.42% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 57.6% (

1.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.74% (

1.33)

40.25% (

-1.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.37% (

1.36)

62.62% (

-1.36)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.39% (

0.44)

13.6% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.26% (

0.87)

40.73% (

-0.88)

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.66% (

0.97)

33.33% (

-0.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.04% (

1.06)

69.95% (

-1.06)

Score Analysis

Monza 58.14%

Sassuolo 20.42%

Draw 21.44%

Monza	Draw	Sassuolo
2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.41) 2-0 @ 9.02% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 6% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.1) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.35% Total : 58.14%	1-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.28) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.44%	1-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.25% Total : 20.42%