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Gianluca Caprari
28'
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Gianluca Caprari
30'
Monza vs Alcione - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 64.06%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Alcione had a probability of 15.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for an Alcione win it was 0-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Monza in this match.
Result
Monza
64.06%
▲
(+0.38)
Draw
20.18%
▼
(-0.11)
Alcione
15.76%
▼
(-0.27)
Both Teams to Score:
52.71%
▼
(-0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5
57.71%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 2.5
42.29%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 3.5
35.31%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 3.5
64.69%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 4.5
18.5%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 4.5
81.5%
▲
(+0.04)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5
87.49%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 0.5
12.51%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 1.5
61.49%
▲
(+0.20)
Under 1.5
38.5%
▼
(-0.20)
Alcione Goals
Over 0.5
60.24%
▼
(-0.37)
Under 0.5
39.75%
▲
(+0.37)
Over 1.5
23.57%
▼
(-0.34)
Under 1.5
76.43%
▲
(+0.35)
Score analysis
Monza
64.05%
Draw
20.18%
Alcione
15.76%
Monza
2-0
@
10.74%
▲
(+0.10)
1-0 @ 10.33% ▲ (+0.07)
2-1 @ 9.91% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.45% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 6.87% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 3.87% ▲ (+0.07)
4-1 @ 3.57% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.04)
5-1 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 64.05%
1-0 @ 10.33% ▲ (+0.07)
2-1 @ 9.91% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.45% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 6.87% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 3.87% ▲ (+0.07)
4-1 @ 3.57% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.04)
5-1 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 64.05%
Draw
1-1
@
9.53%
▼
(-0.05)
0-0 @ 4.97% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.57% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 20.18%
0-0 @ 4.97% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.57% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 20.18%
Alcione
0-1
@
4.59%
▼
(-0.04)
1-2 @ 4.4% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 15.76%
1-2 @ 4.4% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 15.76%