Monza
Coppa Italia | First Round
Aug 9, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
U-Power Stadium

Monza
0 - 0
Sudtirol

Caprari (91' pen.)
Izzo (64'), Kiriakopoulos (81'), Sensi (89')
FT
(aet)
Kurtic (94' pen.)
Arrigoni (36')
Monza win 9-8 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Coppa Italia clash between Monza and Sudtirol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monza 2-2 Sassuolo
Saturday, August 3 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Sudtirol 0-1 Palermo
Friday, May 10 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 58.9%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 18.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
MonzaDrawSudtirol
58.9% (-0.1 -0.1)22.44% (0.032 0.03)18.66% (0.067 0.07)
Both teams to score 51.23% (0.017999999999994 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.75% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)47.25% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.53% (-0.032 -0.03)69.47% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.3% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)15.7% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.24% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)44.76% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
Sudtirol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.77% (0.053999999999995 0.05)39.23% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.06% (0.052 0.05)75.94% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Monza 58.89%
    Sudtirol 18.66%
    Draw 22.43%
MonzaDrawSudtirol
1-0 @ 11.4%
2-0 @ 10.55% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 6.52% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.1% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.02% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.85%
4-1 @ 2.82% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.12% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.05% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 58.89%
1-1 @ 10.66% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.16% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.62% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 22.43%
0-1 @ 5.76% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.99% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.7% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.56% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.44% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 18.66%

How you voted: Monza vs Sudtirol

Monza
82.9%
Draw
17.1%
Sudtirol
0.0%
35
rhs 2.0


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