Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 65.22%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Puskas Academy had a probability of 15.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for a Puskas Academy win it was 0-1 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.