Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 1

Aug 17, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Ennio Tardini

Parma
1 - 1
Fiorentina

Man (22')
Estevez (36'), Balogh (49'), Circati (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Biraghi (75')
Pongracic (35')
Pongracic (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Parma and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Parma

All competitions

Last Game: Parma 0-1 Palermo
Sunday, August 11 at 5.30pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Grosseto 2-7 Fiorentina
Monday, August 5 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 3

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 48.55%. A win for Parma had a probability of 27.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Parma win was 2-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Parma	Draw	Fiorentina
27.69% ( -1.62)	23.76% ( -0.06)	48.55% ( 1.69)

Both teams to score 58.26% (

-0.98)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.66% (

-0.76)

43.34% (

0.76)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.26% (

-0.75)

65.74% (

0.75)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.05% (

-1.52)

28.95% (

1.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.16% (

-1.93)

64.84% (

1.93)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82% (

0.37)

18% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.14% (

0.63)

48.86% (

-0.63)

Score Analysis

Parma 27.69%

Fiorentina 48.55%

Draw 23.76%

Parma	Draw	Fiorentina
2-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.28) 1-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 4% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.16) Other @ 3.44% Total : 27.69%	1-1 @ 11.07% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.76%	1-2 @ 9.5% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.4) 0-2 @ 7.66% ( 0.43) 1-3 @ 5.43% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 4.38% ( 0.29) 2-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 2.33% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.15) 2-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.63% Total : 48.55%