Serie A
Gameweek
1
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-
Dennis Man
22'
-
Nahuel Estevez
36'
-
Botond Balogh
49'
-
Alessandro Circati
85'
-
Marin Pongracic
35'
-
Cristiano Biraghi
75'
-
Marin Pongracic
83'
Parma vs Fiorentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 48.55%. A win for Parma had a probability of 27.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Parma win was 2-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result
Parma
27.69%
▼
(-1.62)
Draw
23.76%
▼
(-0.07)
Fiorentina
48.55%
▲
(+1.69)
Both Teams to Score:
58.26%
▼
(-0.98)
Goals
Over 2.5
56.66%
▼
(-0.77)
Under 2.5
43.34%
▲
(+0.77)
Over 3.5
34.26%
▼
(-0.76)
Under 3.5
65.74%
▲
(+0.76)
Over 4.5
17.71%
▼
(-0.57)
Under 4.5
82.28%
▲
(+0.57)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5
71.05%
▼
(-1.53)
Under 0.5
28.95%
▲
(+1.53)
Over 1.5
35.16%
▼
(-1.93)
Under 1.5
64.84%
▲
(+1.93)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5
82%
▲
(+0.38)
Under 0.5
18%
▼
(-0.38)
Over 1.5
51.14%
▲
(+0.64)
Under 1.5
48.86%
▼
(-0.64)
Score analysis
Parma
27.69%
Draw
23.76%
Fiorentina
48.55%
Parma
2-1
@
6.87%
▼
(-0.28)
1-0 @ 6.46% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 4% ▼ (-0.22)
3-1 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.25)
3-2 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.18)
3-0 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 27.69%
1-0 @ 6.46% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 4% ▼ (-0.22)
3-1 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.25)
3-2 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.18)
3-0 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 27.69%
Draw
1-1
@
11.07%
▲
(+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.89% ▼ (-0.17)
0-0 @ 5.21% ▲ (+0.18)
3-3 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.76%
2-2 @ 5.89% ▼ (-0.17)
0-0 @ 5.21% ▲ (+0.18)
3-3 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.76%
Fiorentina
1-2
@
9.5%
▲
(+0.15)
0-1 @ 8.94% ▲ (+0.40)
0-2 @ 7.66% ▲ (+0.43)
1-3 @ 5.43% ▲ (+0.15)
0-3 @ 4.38% ▲ (+0.30)
2-3 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.06)
1-4 @ 2.33% ▲ (+0.09)
0-4 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.15)
2-4 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 48.55%
0-1 @ 8.94% ▲ (+0.40)
0-2 @ 7.66% ▲ (+0.43)
1-3 @ 5.43% ▲ (+0.15)
0-3 @ 4.38% ▲ (+0.30)
2-3 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.06)
1-4 @ 2.33% ▲ (+0.09)
0-4 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.15)
2-4 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 48.55%
Head to Head
Coppa Italia
-
Yerry Mina
38'
-
Mbala N'Zola
83'
-
Riccardo Sottil
89'
-
Mbala N'Zola
92'
-
Gino Infantino
120'
-
Adrian Bernabe
21'
-
Ange-Yoan Bonny
23'
-
Leandro Chichizola
38'
-
Cristian Ansaldi
96'
Serie A
Gameweek
26
-
Lucas Martinez
28'
-
Nikola Milenkovic
42'
-
Simone Iacoponi
90'+4'
-
Juraj Kucka
32'
-
Juraj Kucka
56'
-
Giuseppe Pezzella
62'
-
Jasmin Kurtic
72'
-
Mattia Bani
80'
-
Valentin Mihaila
90'
-
Roberto D'Aversa
90'+3'
Serie A
Gameweek
7
-
Giuseppe Pezzella
68'
-
Franck Ribery
42'
-
Nikola Milenkovic
73'
Serie A
Gameweek
30
-
Gaston Brugman
38'
-
Dejan Kulusevski
39'
-
Juraj Kucka
41'
-
Juraj Kucka
49'
-
Jasmin Kurtic
89'
-
Erick Pulgar
19'
-
Erick Pulgar
31'
-
Lorenzo Venuti
32'
-
German Pezzella
49'
-
Igor Julio
52'
-
Nikola Milenkovic
63'
-
Patrick Cutrone
79'
-
Riccardo Sottil
90'+5'
Serie A
Gameweek
11
-
Dalbert Henrique
55'
-
Gaetano Castrovilli
67'
-
Erick Pulgar
71'
-
Giuseppe Pezzella
28'
-
Matteo Darmian
39'
-
Gervinho
40'
Serie A
Gameweek
37
-
Gerson
80'
-
Marco Benassi
90'