Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 68.65%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Parma had a probability of 13.63%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-1 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.15%), while for a Parma win it was 2-1 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Parma | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 13.63% | 17.72% | 68.65% |
| Both teams to score 56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.68% | 35.31% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.65% | 57.34% |
| Parma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.77% | 38.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.01% | 74.99% |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.65% | 9.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.49% | 31.5% |
| Score Analysis |
| Parma | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 2-1 @ 3.92% 1-0 @ 3.44% 2-0 @ 1.65% 3-2 @ 1.49% 3-1 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.88% Total : 13.63% | 1-1 @ 8.15% 2-2 @ 4.64% 0-0 @ 3.57% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.18% Total : 17.72% | 0-2 @ 10.03% 1-2 @ 9.65% 0-1 @ 8.47% 0-3 @ 7.93% 1-3 @ 7.63% 0-4 @ 4.7% 1-4 @ 4.52% 2-3 @ 3.67% 0-5 @ 2.23% 2-4 @ 2.17% 1-5 @ 2.14% 2-5 @ 1.03% Other @ 4.48% Total : 68.64% |