Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 63.63%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Parma had a probability of 15.69%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.1%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Parma win it was 1-0 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Parma | Draw | AC Milan |
15.69% | 20.68% | 63.63% |
Both teams to score 50.87% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.35% | 44.65% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.98% | 67.01% |
Parma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.71% | 41.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.19% | 77.81% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.64% | 13.36% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.75% | 40.25% |
Score Analysis |
Parma | Draw | AC Milan |
1-0 @ 4.88% 2-1 @ 4.34% 2-0 @ 2.16% 3-2 @ 1.29% 3-1 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.74% Total : 15.69% | 1-1 @ 9.82% 0-0 @ 5.52% 2-2 @ 4.37% Other @ 0.97% Total : 20.68% | 0-2 @ 11.17% 0-1 @ 11.1% 1-2 @ 9.89% 0-3 @ 7.5% 1-3 @ 6.63% 0-4 @ 3.77% 1-4 @ 3.34% 2-3 @ 2.93% 0-5 @ 1.52% 2-4 @ 1.48% 1-5 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.94% Total : 63.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 34 |
2 | Napoli | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 32 |
3 | Inter Milan | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 31 |
4 | Fiorentina | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 10 | 18 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 15 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 27 |
7 | AC Milan | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 22 |
8 | Bologna | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 22 |
9 | Udinese | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 19 |
11 | Roma | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 16 |
12 | Torino | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 16 |
13 | Parma | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 15 |
14 | Genoa | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 14 |
16 | Lecce | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 13 |
17 | Como | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 12 |
19 | Monza | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 9 |
> Serie A Full Table |