Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 30

Apr 10, 2021 at 5pm UK

Stadio Ennio Tardini

Parma
1 - 3
AC Milan

Gagliolo (66')
Bani (10'), Pezzella (37'), Gagliolo (38'), Kucka (64')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Rebic (8'), Kessie (44'), Leao (90+4')
Calhanoglu (24'), Hernandez (78'), Kessie (81'), Meite (90')
Ibrahimovic (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Parma and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 63.63%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Parma had a probability of 15.69%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.1%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Parma win it was 1-0 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
Parma	Draw	AC Milan
15.69%	20.68%	63.63%

Both teams to score 50.87%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.35%

44.65%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.98%

67.01%

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.71%

41.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.19%

77.81%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.64%

13.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.75%

40.25%

Score Analysis

Parma 15.69%

AC Milan 63.62%

Draw 20.68%

Parma	Draw	AC Milan
1-0 @ 4.88% 2-1 @ 4.34% 2-0 @ 2.16% 3-2 @ 1.29% 3-1 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.74% Total : 15.69%	1-1 @ 9.82% 0-0 @ 5.52% 2-2 @ 4.37% Other @ 0.97% Total : 20.68%	0-2 @ 11.17% 0-1 @ 11.1% 1-2 @ 9.89% 0-3 @ 7.5% 1-3 @ 6.63% 0-4 @ 3.77% 1-4 @ 3.34% 2-3 @ 2.93% 0-5 @ 1.52% 2-4 @ 1.48% 1-5 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.94% Total : 63.62%

How you voted: Parma vs AC Milan

Parma

9.6%

Draw

18.1%

AC Milan

72.3%