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Coppa Italia | First Round
Aug 11, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini

Parma
0 - 1
Palermo


Mihaila (52')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Insigne (45+2')
Blin (22'), Gomes (86'), Henry (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Coppa Italia clash between Parma and Palermo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Parma

All competitions
Last Game: Parma 4-1 Atalanta
Sunday, August 4 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3

Palermo

All competitions
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-2 Palermo
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Palermo win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
ParmaDrawPalermo
45.46% (0.241 0.24)24.59% (0.206 0.21)29.95% (-0.447 -0.45)
Both teams to score 57.02% (-0.97 -0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.31% (-1.157 -1.16)45.68% (1.156 1.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.99% (-1.111 -1.11)68.01% (1.11 1.11)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.81% (-0.36799999999999 -0.37)20.19% (0.368 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.5% (-0.59 -0.59)52.5% (0.591 0.59)
Palermo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.44% (-0.88200000000001 -0.88)28.56% (0.882 0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.66% (-1.117 -1.12)64.34% (1.117 1.12)
Score Analysis
    Parma 45.46%
    Palermo 29.95%
    Draw 24.59%
ParmaDrawPalermo
2-1 @ 9.25% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.23% (0.347 0.35)
2-0 @ 7.38% (0.196 0.2)
3-1 @ 4.93% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.94% (0.06 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.107 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.97% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.57% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 45.46%
1-1 @ 11.56% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.8% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-0 @ 5.77% (0.28 0.28)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.59%
1-2 @ 7.25% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-1 @ 7.23% (0.178 0.18)
0-2 @ 4.53% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.03% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.42% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.89% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 29.95%

How you voted: Parma vs Palermo

Parma
83.3%
Draw
12.5%
Palermo
4.2%
24
Head to Head
Apr 19, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 34
Palermo
0-0
Parma
Diakite (42'), Gomes (90+4')
Osorio (37'), Bernabe (78')
Dec 10, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 16
Parma
3-3
Palermo
Estevez (51'), Mihaila (90+1'), Charpentier (90+5')
Balogh (35'), Del Prato (55'), Bonny (64'), Benedyczak (90')
Brunori (3', 18'), Segre (85')
Di Francesco (16'), Valente (80'), Mateju (90')
Apr 1, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 31
Parma
2-1
Palermo
Benedyczak (32'), Coulibaly (77')
Soleri (41')
Nov 5, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 12
Palermo
1-0
Parma
Marconi (57')
Apr 2, 2018 7.30pm
Parma
3-2
Palermo
Calaio (31', 39' pen., 47')
Lucarelli (67'), Scavone (90')
Nestorovski (52'), Rajkovic (90')
Nestorovski (32'), Pomini (33'), Rispoli (35'), Coronado (64'), Gnahore (71')