Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Palermo win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Palermo
41.68% ( 0.55)	25.98% ( -0.22)	32.33% ( -0.32)

Both teams to score 53.49% (

0.62)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.23% (

0.85)

50.77% (

-0.85)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.34% (

0.74)

72.67% (

-0.74)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.88% (

0.66)

24.12% (

-0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.58% (

0.93)

58.42% (

-0.92)

Palermo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.5% (

0.21)

29.5% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.49% (

0.26)

65.52% (

-0.25)

Score Analysis

Oxford United 41.68%

Palermo 32.33%

Draw 25.98%

Oxford United	Draw	Palermo
1-0 @ 10.12% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.87% Total : 41.68%	1-1 @ 12.35% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 7.12% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.98%	0-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 7.54% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.46% Total : 32.33%