Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 63.45%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Palermo had a probability of 16.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 1-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Palermo win it was 1-2 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.