Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 5

Sep 22, 2024 at 11.30am UK

Stadio Comunale Gino Bozzi

Fiorentina
2 - 1
Lazio

Gudmundsson (49' pen., 90' pen.)
Gosens (11'), Biraghi (42'), Dodo (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gila (41')
Isaksen (26'), Patric (85'), Guendouzi (89'), Tavares (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Atalanta 3-2 Fiorentina
Sunday, September 15 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lazio 2-1 Hellas Verona
Monday, September 16 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 51.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 23.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Lazio
51.74% ( 0.4)	24.51% ( 0.08)	23.75% ( -0.48)

Both teams to score 52.04% (

-0.79)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.21% (

-0.78)

49.79% (

0.79)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.21% (

-0.7)

71.79% (

0.71)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.77% (

-0.14)

19.22% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.07% (

-0.24)

50.92% (

0.24)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.43% (

-0.86)

35.57% (

0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.66% (

-0.9)

72.34% (

0.9)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 51.74%

Lazio 23.75%

Draw 24.5%

Fiorentina	Draw	Lazio
1-0 @ 11.27% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 5.28% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.03% Total : 51.74%	1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.5%	0-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.96% Total : 23.75%