Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 3

Sep 1, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
2 - 2
Monza

Kean (45'), Gosens (90+6')
Mandragora (23'), Dodo (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Djuric (18'), Maldini (32')
Pessina (21'), Izzo (75'), Petagna (80'), Nesta (81'), Gagliardini (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Puskas Academy 1-1 Fiorentina (4-5 pen.)
Thursday, August 29 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Monza

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Monza 0-1 Genoa
Saturday, August 24 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 65.74%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Monza had a probability of 13.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.55%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Monza
65.74% ( -0.47)	20.59% ( 0.31)	13.67% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 46.16% (

-0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.69% (

-0.97)

48.31% (

0.97)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.54% (

-0.89)

70.45% (

0.89)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.13% (

-0.44)

13.87% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.73% (

-0.88)

41.27% (

0.88)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.59% (

-0.35)

46.4% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.97% (

-0.27)

82.03% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 65.73%

Monza 13.67%

Draw 20.59%

Fiorentina	Draw	Monza
1-0 @ 12.71% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 12.55% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.5% Total : 65.73%	1-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.69% Total : 20.59%	0-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.18% Total : 13.67%