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Monza
Serie A | Gameweek 2
Aug 24, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
U-Power Stadium
Genoa logo

Monza
0 - 1
Genoa


Izzo (40'), Mari (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pinamonti (45+7')
De Winter (59'), Malinovskyi (90+5'), Thorsby (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Monza and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Empoli 0-0 Monza
Saturday, August 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 2-2 Inter Milan
Saturday, August 17 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 55.81%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 20.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.

Result
MonzaDrawGenoa
55.81% (0.052 0.05)23.81% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)20.38% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 49.82% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.45% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)50.54% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.53% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)72.46% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.04% (0.01400000000001 0.01)17.95% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.21% (0.027000000000001 0.03)48.79% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.72% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)39.27% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.02% (-0.049000000000003 -0.05)75.98% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Monza 55.8%
    Genoa 20.38%
    Draw 23.8%
MonzaDrawGenoa
1-0 @ 12.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.72%
3-0 @ 5.95% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.56% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.39% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 55.8%
1-1 @ 11.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 4.54% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 23.8%
0-1 @ 6.59% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.29% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.08% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.65% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 0.96% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 20.38%

How you voted: Monza vs Genoa

Monza
31.3%
Draw
31.3%
Genoa
37.5%
80
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Genoa
2-3
Monza
Gudmundsson (52'), Vitinha (68')
Sabelli (17')
Pessina (8'), Mota (18'), Maldini (79')
Djuric (44')
Dec 10, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 15
Monza
1-0
Genoa
Mota (83')
Kiriakopoulos (65')

Vasquez (34'), Frendrup (86')