Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 58.68%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Reggiana had a probability of 18.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Reggiana win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Genoa in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Genoa.

Result
Genoa	Draw	Reggiana
58.68% ( -0.04)	22.43% ( -0)	18.88% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 51.64% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.11% (

0.07)

46.88% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.86% (

0.06)

69.13% (

-0.07)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.35% (

15.64% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.33% (

0.01)

44.66% (

-0.02)

Reggiana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.22% (

0.09)

38.77% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.49% (

0.08)

75.51% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Genoa 58.67%

Reggiana 18.88%

Draw 22.43%

Genoa	Draw	Reggiana
1-0 @ 11.25% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.12% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.99% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 58.67%	1-1 @ 10.66% 0-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.43%	0-1 @ 5.75% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.72% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 18.88%