Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 1

Aug 17, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
2 - 2
Inter Milan

Vogliacco (20'), Messias (90+5')
Gilardino (53'), Gollini (63')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Thuram (30', 82')
Mkhitaryan (16'), Gilardino (61'), Asllani (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Genoa

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Genoa 1-0 Reggiana
Friday, August 9 at 7.45pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Inter Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Chelsea 1-1 Inter Milan
Sunday, August 11 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Genoa	Draw	Inter Milan
29.58% ( 0.69)	25.3% ( 0.22)	45.12% ( -0.91)

Both teams to score 54.43% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.03% (

-0.57)

48.97% (

0.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.94% (

-0.52)

71.05% (

0.52)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.52% (

0.2)

30.48% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.31% (

0.24)

66.69% (

-0.24)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.3% (

-0.65)

21.7% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.14% (

-1)

54.85% (

Score Analysis

Genoa 29.58%

Inter Milan 45.11%

Draw 25.3%

Genoa	Draw	Inter Milan
1-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.09% Total : 29.58%	1-1 @ 12% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.3%	0-1 @ 10.1% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.17% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 7.72% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 4.67% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.4% Total : 45.11%