Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 3

Aug 31, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
2 - 2
AC Milan

Castellanos (62'), Dia (66')
Rovella (39'), Zaccagni (64'), Patric (85'), Guendouzi (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Pavlovic (8'), Leao (72')
Fofana (20'), Terracciano (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lazio and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Udinese 2-1 Lazio
Saturday, August 24 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Parma 2-1 AC Milan
Saturday, August 24 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
Lazio	Draw	AC Milan
43.71% ( 0.21)	25.37% ( -0.08)	30.92% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 54.91% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.33% (

0.29)

48.67% (

-0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.21% (

0.26)

70.79% (

-0.26)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.78% (

0.22)

22.22% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.35% (

0.33)

55.65% (

-0.33)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.6% (

0.05)

29.4% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.61% (

0.07)

65.39% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Lazio 43.71%

AC Milan 30.92%

Draw 25.37%

Lazio	Draw	AC Milan
1-0 @ 9.83% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.29% Total : 43.71%	1-1 @ 12.03% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.37%	0-1 @ 8% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 30.92%