Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 56.09%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 18.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.99%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (7.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lazio in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lazio.