Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.