Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 62.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 16.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hellas Verona in this match.

Result
Hellas Verona	Draw	Asteras Tripolis
62.35% ( -0.79)	21.46% ( 0.41)	16.18% ( 0.38)

Both teams to score 49.43% (

-0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.86% (

-1.06)

47.14% (

1.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.63% (

-0.99)

69.37% (

0.99)

Hellas Verona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.46% (

-0.59)

14.54% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.42% (

-1.14)

42.57% (

1.13)

Asteras Tripolis Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.84% (

-0.15)

42.16% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.43% (

-0.13)

78.57% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Hellas Verona 62.35%

Asteras Tripolis 16.18%

Draw 21.46%

Hellas Verona	Draw	Asteras Tripolis
1-0 @ 11.82% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 11.39% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 6.33% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 3.53% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.47% Total : 62.35%	1-1 @ 10.2% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.87% Total : 21.46%	0-1 @ 5.29% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.7% Total : 16.18%