Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 62.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 16.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hellas Verona in this match.