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Coppa Italia | First Round
Aug 10, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli
0 - 0
Modena

Napoli win 4-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Coppa Italia clash between Napoli and Modena, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Napoli 0-2 Girona
Saturday, August 3 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Modena 2-2 Cagliari
Saturday, August 3 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Napoli win with a probability of 65.34%. A draw has a probability of 19.9% and a win for Modena has a probability of 14.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Modena win it is 0-1 (4.49%).

Result
NapoliDrawModena
65.34% (-0.14 -0.14)19.86% (0.042000000000002 0.04)14.8% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 51.45% (0.092000000000006 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.22%42.78% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.81% (0.00099999999999767 0)65.18% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.7% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)12.29% (0.039 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.93% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)38.06% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Modena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.66% (0.131 0.13)41.34% (-0.134 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.14% (0.117 0.12)77.85% (-0.11999999999999 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 65.33%
    Modena 14.8%
    Draw 19.86%
NapoliDrawModena
2-0 @ 11.16% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 10.65% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.8% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.09% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.61% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.04% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.71% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.6% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.51% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 65.33%
1-1 @ 9.41% (0.019 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.08%
2-2 @ 4.36% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 19.86%
0-1 @ 4.49% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.16% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.98% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.28% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.22% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 14.8%

How you voted: Napoli vs Modena

Napoli
92.5%
Draw
7.5%
Modena
0.0%
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