Serie A
Gameweek
4
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-
Mateo Retegui
21'
-
Isak Hien
27'
-
Charles De Ketelaere
45'
-
Ademola Lookman
45'+1'
-
Davide Zappacosta
82'
-
Lucas Martinez
15'
-
Edoardo Bove
17'
-
Moise Kean
32'
-
Rolando Mandragora
44'
-
Amir Richardson
68'
Atalanta BC vs Fiorentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result
Atalanta BC
32.56%
▲
(+0.07)
Draw
25.52%
▲
(+0.03)
Fiorentina
41.93%
▼
(-0.09)
Both Teams to Score:
55.12%
▼
(-0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.3%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 2.5
48.7%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 3.5
29.19%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 3.5
70.81%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 4.5
14.11%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 4.5
85.89%
▲
(+0.06)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5
71.67%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
28.33%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
35.94%
Under 1.5
64.06%
▲
(+0.01)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5
76.91%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 0.5
23.09%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 1.5
43.07%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 1.5
56.93%
▲
(+0.12)
Score analysis
Atalanta BC
32.56%
Draw
25.51%
Fiorentina
41.93%
Atalanta BC
1-0
@
8.25%
▲
(+0.03)
2-1 @ 7.63% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.2% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.21% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 32.56%
2-1 @ 7.63% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.2% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.21% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 32.56%
Draw
1-1
@
12.09%
▲
(+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.54% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.59% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.51%
0-0 @ 6.54% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.59% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.51%
Fiorentina
0-1
@
9.59%
▲
(+0.02)
1-2 @ 8.86% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 7.03% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.33% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 41.93%
1-2 @ 8.86% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 7.03% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.33% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 41.93%
Head to Head
Serie A
Gameweek
29
-
Ademola Lookman
12'
-
Giorgio Scalvini
32'
-
Andrea Belotti
6'
-
Nicolas Gonzalez
19'
-
Andrea Belotti
45'+1'
-
Lucas Martinez
75'
-
Luca Ranieri
85'
Coppa Italia
-
Teun Koopmeiners
8'
-
Sead Kolasinac
56'
-
Gianluca Scamacca
75'
-
Gianluca Scamacca
80'
-
Ademola Lookman
90'+4'
-
Mario Pasalic
90'+8'
-
Rolando Mandragora
43'
-
Nikola Milenkovic
53'
-
Lucas Martinez
68'
-
Dodo
69'
Coppa Italia
-
Rolando Mandragora
31'
-
Rolando Mandragora
55'
-
Christian Kouame
81'
-
Aleksei Miranchuk
29'
-
Marten de Roon
78'
-
Gianluca Scamacca
89'
Serie A
Gameweek
4
-
Giacomo Bonaventura
35'
-
Lucas Martinez
45'
-
Christian Kouame
76'
-
Fabiano Parisi
87'
-
Teun Koopmeiners
20'
-
Marten de Roon
34'
-
Ademola Lookman
53'
-
Nadir Zortea
65'
Serie A
Gameweek
30
-
Arthur Cabral
56'
-
Joakim Maehle
37'
Serie A
Gameweek
8
-
Ademola Lookman
59'