Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 4

Sep 15, 2024 at 2pm UK

Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta
3 - 2
Fiorentina

Retegui (21'), De Ketelaere (45'), Lookman (45+1')
Hien (27'), Zappacosta (82')

FT(HT: 3-2)

Martinez (15'), Kean (32')
Bove (17'), Mandragora (44'), Richardson (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Inter Milan 4-0 Atalanta
Friday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-2 Monza
Sunday, September 1 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Fiorentina
32.56% ( 0.06)	25.52% ( 0.03)	41.93% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 55.12% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.3% (

-0.08)

48.7% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.19% (

-0.07)

70.81% (

0.08)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.67% (

28.33% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.94%

64.06% (

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.91% (

-0.08)

23.09% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.07% (

-0.12)

56.93% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 32.56%

Fiorentina 41.93%

Draw 25.51%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Fiorentina
1-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.21% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 32.56%	1-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.51%	0-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.86% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.03% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.33% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.11% Total : 41.93%