Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 1

Aug 19, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Lecce
0 - 4
Atalanta

FT(HT: 0-2)

Brescianini (35', 66'), Retegui (45', 57' pen.)
de Roon (60'), Ederson (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lecce 2-1 Mantova
Monday, August 12 at 5.30pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Real Madrid 2-0 Atalanta
Wednesday, August 14 at 8pm in UEFA Super Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Lecce	Draw	Atalanta BC
29.41% ( 0.71)	26.33% ( 0.11)	44.26% ( -0.82)

Both teams to score 51.1% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.74% (

-0.09)

53.26% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.18% (

-0.08)

74.82% (

0.08)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.18% (

0.49)

32.82% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.62% (

0.54)

69.38% (

-0.54)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.06% (

-0.43)

23.94% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.83% (

-0.62)

58.17% (

0.63)

Score Analysis

Lecce 29.41%

Atalanta BC 44.26%

Draw 26.33%

Lecce	Draw	Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 2.59% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.55% Total : 29.41%	1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.33%	0-1 @ 11.23% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 8.95% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 8.03% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 4.26% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.7% Total : 44.26%