Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 43.1%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Empoli |
| 43.1% ( | 27.18% ( | 29.73% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.74% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.63% ( | 56.38% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.61% ( | 77.39% ( |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.08% ( | 25.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.09% ( | 60.91% ( |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.79% ( | 34.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.09% ( | 70.91% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cagliari | Draw | Empoli |
| 1-0 @ 11.97% ( 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 2-0 @ 8.08% ( 3-1 @ 3.9% ( 3-0 @ 3.64% ( 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 4-1 @ 1.32% ( 4-0 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 2.19% Total : 43.09% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( 0-0 @ 8.87% ( 2-2 @ 4.65% ( Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.18% | 0-1 @ 9.51% ( 1-2 @ 6.89% ( 0-2 @ 5.1% ( 1-3 @ 2.46% ( 0-3 @ 1.82% ( 2-3 @ 1.66% ( Other @ 2.28% Total : 29.73% |