Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 4

Sep 15, 2024 at 5pm UK

Sardegna Arena

Cagliari
0 - 4
Napoli

Mina (75')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Di Lorenzo (18'), Kvaratskhelia (66'), Lukaku (70'), Buongiorno (90+3')
Lobotka (42'), Lukaku (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lecce 1-0 Cagliari
Saturday, August 31 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Napoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Napoli 2-1 Parma
Saturday, August 31 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 49.31%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Cagliari	Draw	Napoli
25.69% ( -0.07)	24.99% ( 0.05)	49.31% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 52.52% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.89% (

-0.25)

50.11% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.92% (

-0.22)

72.07% (

0.22)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.93% (

-0.2)

34.06% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.25% (

-0.21)

70.74% (

0.21)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.66% (

-0.09)

20.34% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.27% (

-0.14)

52.73% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Cagliari 25.69%

Napoli 49.31%

Draw 24.99%

Cagliari	Draw	Napoli
1-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.02% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 25.69%	1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.99%	0-1 @ 11.03% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.46% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.79% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.02% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.66% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.86% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 49.31%