Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 3

Aug 31, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli
2 - 1
Parma

Lukaku (90+2'), Zambo Anguissa (90+6')
Zambo Anguissa (43'), Lobotka (58'), Conte (59')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Bonny (19' pen.)
Mihaila (61'), Suzuki (63'), Del Prato (88')
Suzuki (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Parma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Napoli 3-0 Bologna
Sunday, August 25 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Parma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Parma 2-1 AC Milan
Saturday, August 24 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 61%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Parma had a probability of 17.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Parma
61% ( 2.5)	21.08% ( -1.1)	17.91% ( -1.4)

Both teams to score 54.3% (

1.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.53% (

2.72)

42.47% (

-2.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.12% (

2.66)

64.88% (

-2.66)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.55% (

1.68)

13.45% (

-1.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.56% (

3.26)

40.44% (

-3.26)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.73% (

0.05)

37.27% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.95% (

0.05)

74.05% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Napoli 60.99%

Parma 17.91%

Draw 21.08%

Napoli	Draw	Parma
2-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 10.05% ( -0.61) 2-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.41) 3-1 @ 6.66% ( 0.41) 4-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.39) 4-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.39) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.21) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.19) 5-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.23) 5-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.23) Other @ 3.15% Total : 60.99%	1-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.58) 0-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.63) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.08%	0-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.62) 1-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.3) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.4% Total : 17.91%