/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fnaplog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fparlog.png)
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Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa
43'
-
Stanislav Lobotka
58'
-
Antonio Conte
59'
-
Romelu Lukaku
90'+2'
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Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa
90'+6'
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Ange-Yoan Bonny
19'
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Valentin Mihaila
61'
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Zion Suzuki
63'
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Zion Suzuki
75'
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Enrico Del Prato
88'
Napoli vs Parma - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F34%2Fantonio-conte.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 61%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Parma had a probability of 17.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result
Napoli
61%
▲
(+2.51)
Draw
21.08%
▼
(-1.11)
Parma
17.91%
▼
(-1.40)
Both Teams to Score:
54.3%
▲
(+1.10)
Goals
Over 2.5
57.53%
▲
(+2.72)
Under 2.5
42.47%
▼
(-2.73)
Over 3.5
35.12%
▲
(+2.66)
Under 3.5
64.88%
▼
(-2.67)
Over 4.5
18.36%
▲
(+1.96)
Under 4.5
81.64%
▼
(-1.96)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5
86.55%
▲
(+1.68)
Under 0.5
13.45%
▼
(-1.68)
Over 1.5
59.56%
▲
(+3.27)
Under 1.5
40.44%
▼
(-3.27)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5
62.73%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 0.5
37.27%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 1.5
25.95%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 1.5
74.05%
▼
(-0.06)
Score analysis
Napoli
60.99%
Draw
21.08%
Parma
17.91%
Napoli
2-0
@
10.08%
▲
(+0.02)
1-0 @ 10.05% ▼ (-0.61)
2-1 @ 9.96% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 6.75% ▲ (+0.41)
3-1 @ 6.66% ▲ (+0.42)
4-0 @ 3.38% ▲ (+0.39)
4-1 @ 3.34% ▲ (+0.39)
3-2 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.21)
4-2 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.20)
5-0 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.23)
5-1 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.23)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 60.99%
1-0 @ 10.05% ▼ (-0.61)
2-1 @ 9.96% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 6.75% ▲ (+0.41)
3-1 @ 6.66% ▲ (+0.42)
4-0 @ 3.38% ▲ (+0.39)
4-1 @ 3.34% ▲ (+0.39)
3-2 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.21)
4-2 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.20)
5-0 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.23)
5-1 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.23)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 60.99%
Draw
1-1
@
9.93%
▼
(-0.59)
0-0 @ 5.01% ▼ (-0.64)
2-2 @ 4.91% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.08%
0-0 @ 5.01% ▼ (-0.64)
2-2 @ 4.91% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.08%
Parma
0-1
@
4.95%
▼
(-0.62)
1-2 @ 4.9% ▼ (-0.29)
0-2 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.30)
2-3 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 17.91%
1-2 @ 4.9% ▼ (-0.29)
0-2 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.30)
2-3 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 17.91%