Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 79.34%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 7.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 1-2 (2.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.