Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 12
Oct 12, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Park Hall Stadium

New Saints
3 - 0
Cardiff MU

Cadwallader (3' og.), Davies (21'), Oteh (63')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between The New Saints and Cardiff MU.

Form, Standings, Stats

The New Saints

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 1-2 Caernarfon
Wednesday, October 9 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Cardiff MU

All competitions
Last Game: Cardiff MU 1-2 Caernarfon
Saturday, October 5 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 79.34%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 7.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 1-2 (2.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
The New SaintsDrawCardiff MU
79.34% (0.028000000000006 0.03)12.99% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)7.66% (-0.014 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.33% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.98% (0.039000000000001 0.04)30.01% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.79% (0.048999999999999 0.05)51.2% (-0.052 -0.05)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.07% (0.012 0.01)5.92% (-0.016 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.33% (0.037999999999997 0.04)22.66% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.56% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)45.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.72%81.27% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    The New Saints 79.32%
    Cardiff MU 7.66%
    Draw 12.99%
The New SaintsDrawCardiff MU
2-0 @ 10.74% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 10.12%
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 7.61% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 7.16% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
4-1 @ 5.64% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 4.04% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
5-1 @ 3.19% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.15%
4-2 @ 2.23% (0.0019999999999998 0)
6-0 @ 1.91% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.5% (0.0039999999999998 0)
5-2 @ 1.26% (0.002 0)
Other @ 4.31%
Total : 79.32%
1-1 @ 6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.35% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 2.69% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 12.99%
1-2 @ 2.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 2.12% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 7.66%

Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Cardiff MU
0-5
New Saints
McManus (27', 75'), Williams (47'), Horlock (85'), Smith (89')
Mar 2, 2024 12.45pm
Gameweek 4
New Saints
4-0
Cardiff MU
B (16'), Young (22', 85' pen.), Clark (31')

Lang (12')
Lewis (81')
Jan 6, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 16
New Saints
8-0
Cardiff MU
Brobbel (29' pen., 41'), Young (36', 43', 62'), Cieslewicz (49'), McManus (61'), Holden (88')
Daniels (16')

Rees (29')
Sep 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Cardiff MU
1-5
New Saints
Clubb (35')
Vincent (31'), McCarthy (37'), Lewis (44'), Craven (75')
Evans (86')
Williams (16'), Young (24', 26'), Clark (69'), Brobbel (87' pen.)
Hudson (42'), Daniels (57'), Young (63')
Mar 25, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
New Saints
7-1
Cardiff MU
McManus (8', 40'), Daniels (19'), Redmond (25'), Marriott (58'), Cieslewicz (75'), Dafydd (89')
Veale (4')