Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 9
Sep 24, 2024 at 8pm UK
Park Avenue Ground

Aberystwyth
1 - 2
Cardiff MU

Torry (50')
Arnison (32')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Roscrow (22'), Edwards (54')
Craven (81'), Kabongo (84')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Cardiff MU.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Aberystwyth 0-3 Haverfordwest
Friday, September 20 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League

Cardiff MU

All competitions
Last Game: Cardiff MU 2-1 Connah's Quay
Saturday, September 21 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 47.59%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-0 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff MU would win this match.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawCardiff MU
27.67% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)24.75% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)47.59% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.94% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.28% (0.009999999999998 0.01)47.72% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.09% (0.012 0.01)69.91% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.77% (0.0010000000000048 0)31.24% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.42% (0.0019999999999953 0)67.59%
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.89% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)20.11% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.64% (0.013000000000005 0.01)52.37% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 27.67%
    Cardiff MU 47.58%
    Draw 24.75%
Aberystwyth TownDrawCardiff MU
1-0 @ 7.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 6.82% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 4.25% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 2.65%
3-2 @ 2.12% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 27.67%
1-1 @ 11.72%
0-0 @ 6.28% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.75%
0-1 @ 10.07%
1-2 @ 9.4%
0-2 @ 8.08% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 5.03% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 4.32% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.93% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 2.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.73% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.17% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 47.58%

Head to Head
Dec 2, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Cardiff MU
4-2
Aberystwyth
Evans (40', 56'), Craven (79'), H (83')
Evans (86')
Cadwallader (62'), Darlington (74')
Aug 12, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Aberystwyth
0-1
Cardiff MU

Owen (56')
Evans (34')
Evans (70'), Evans (73'), Rees (83')
Evans (75')
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Cardiff MU
2-1
Aberystwyth
Rees (9', 28')
Darlington (81')
Aug 20, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 2
Aberystwyth
0-4
Cardiff MU
Jones (8', 29', 34'), Evans (70')
Apr 9, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Cardiff MU
1-1
Aberystwyth
McCarthy (48')
Price (8'), Evans (31'), Roscrow (79')
Jenkins (8')