Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 12
Oct 12, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Jenner Park

Barry
3 - 1
Briton Ferry

Patten (10'), Richards (37'), Hulbert (55')
Willmott (47'), Rees (90+4'), Kavanagh (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Morgan Sage (12')
Price (89')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Barry Town United and Briton Ferry.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barry Town United

All competitions
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 4-1 Barry
Friday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Briton Ferry

All competitions
Last Game: Briton Ferry 2-2 Bala Town
Saturday, September 28 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 60.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Briton Ferry had a probability of 18.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.98%) and 1-0 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.33%), while for a Briton Ferry win it was 1-2 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barry Town United would win this match.

Result
Barry Town UnitedDrawBriton Ferry
60.66% (0.576 0.58)20.4% (-0.135 -0.14)18.93% (-0.447 -0.45)
Both teams to score 58.67% (-0.337 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.36% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)37.63% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.12% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)59.87% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Barry Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.96% (0.136 0.14)12.04% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.47% (0.296 0.3)37.52% (-0.30099999999999 -0.3)
Briton Ferry Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.7% (-0.491 -0.49)33.29% (0.485 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.09% (-0.541 -0.54)69.9% (0.53400000000001 0.53)
Score Analysis
    Barry Town United 60.66%
    Briton Ferry 18.93%
    Draw 20.4%
Barry Town UnitedDrawBriton Ferry
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.98% (0.125 0.13)
1-0 @ 8.48% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.97% (0.044 0.04)
3-0 @ 6.34% (0.123 0.12)
3-2 @ 3.83% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.69% (0.044 0.04)
4-0 @ 3.36% (0.083 0.08)
4-2 @ 2.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.56% (0.027 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.42% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 60.66%
1-1 @ 9.33% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.01% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 20.4%
1-2 @ 5.13% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-1 @ 4.41% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-2 @ 2.42% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 18.93%