Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 48.31%. A win for Briton Ferry had a probability of 28.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Briton Ferry win was 2-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.