Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 3
Oct 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Deeside College Stadium

Connah's Quay
1 - 2
New Saints

Kenny (54')
Edwards (15')
FT(HT: 0-0)
McManus (86'), Clark (87')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and The New Saints.

Form, Standings, Stats

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Last Game: Connah's Quay 2-1 Briton Ferry
Sunday, October 27 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

The New Saints

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Aberystwyth 2-4 New Saints
Sunday, October 27 at 1pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.37%) and 0-2 (5.52%). The likeliest Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for The New Saints in this match.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawThe New Saints
35.13% (0.021999999999998 0.02)22.94% (0.004999999999999 0)41.93% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Both teams to score 65.19% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.1% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)35.9% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.01% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)57.98% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.2% (0.0020000000000095 0)20.8% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.54% (0.0040000000000049 0)53.46% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.3% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)17.69% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.66% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)48.34% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 35.13%
    The New Saints 41.93%
    Draw 22.93%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawThe New Saints
2-1 @ 7.86% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 5.78% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.54% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.11% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 3.56%
3-0 @ 2.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.62% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.4%
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 35.13%
1-1 @ 10%
2-2 @ 6.81% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 2.06% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.93%
1-2 @ 8.67% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 6.37% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 5.52% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 5% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-3 @ 3.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 3.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 2.17% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.7% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.38% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 4%
Total : 41.93%

Head to Head
Apr 21, 2024 2.15pm
Gameweek 10
New Saints
2-0
Connah's Quay
Cieslewicz (88'), Edwards (90' og.)

Disney (59'), Nash (60'), Edwards (70'), Edwards (73')
Mar 8, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Connah's Quay
1-5
New Saints
Kenny (46')
Edwards (72')
Daniels (4'), Clark (20'), Davies (36'), Williams (42'), McManus (85')
Dec 31, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
Connah's Quay
0-4
New Saints

Disney (88')
Pask (7'), Brobbel (22'), Young (28', 56')
Marriott (88')
Aug 11, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
New Saints
6-2
Connah's Quay
Cieslewicz (13', 37'), McManus (45+3', 53'), Williams (55'), Smith (89')
Williams (33'), Davies (83'), Smith (86')
Edwards (2'), Davies (35')
Edwards (79'), Disney (83')
Apr 22, 2023 12.45pm
Gameweek 10
New Saints
4-1
Connah's Quay
Daniels (34', 70'), McManus (58', 88')
Harrington (90+1')