Oct 4, 2024 7.45pm

3

0

HT : 2 0

FT Deeside College Stadium

Dan Roberts 17'
Lifumpa Mwandwe 33'
Jack Kenny 44'
Jack Kenny 69'
Elliott Dugan 84'
Chris Marriott 90'+2'

Liam Walsh 42'
Iwan Lewis 54'

Connah's Quay Nomads vs Aberystwyth Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions

L
D
L
L
L
W

Welsh Premier League

L
D
L
L
L
W

Last game

Sep 28, 2024 5.15pm

Caernarfon 3 - 1 Connah's Quay

Goals scored

47

Top scorer

Rhys Hughes

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions

L
L
L
L
L
L

Welsh Premier League

L
L
L
L
L
L

Last game

Sep 27, 2024 7.45pm

Barry 1 - 0 Aberystwyth

Goals scored

28

Top scorer

Jonathan Evans

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 71.94%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 11.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 1-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-2 (3.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result

Connah's Quay Nomads 71.94% ▼ (-0.06)

Draw 16.76% ▲ (+0.03)

Aberystwyth Town 11.29% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score:

51.9% ▼ (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.1% ▼ (-0.07)

Under 2.5 36.9% ▲ (+0.06)

Over 3.5 40.92% ▼ (-0.07)

Under 3.5 59.08% ▲ (+0.07)

Over 4.5 22.88% ▼ (-0.06)

Under 4.5 77.12% ▲ (+0.06)

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5 91% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 0.5 9% ▲ (+0.03)

Over 1.5 69.32% ▼ (-0.07)

Under 1.5 30.67% ▲ (+0.06)

Aberystwyth Town Goals

Over 0.5 57.04% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 0.5 42.96% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 1.5 20.74% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 1.5 79.26% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Connah's Quay Nomads 71.94%

Draw 16.76%

Aberystwyth Town 11.29%

Connah's Quay Nomads

2-0 @ 11.21% ▲ (+0.02)

2-1 @ 9.47% ▲ (+0.01)

1-0 @ 9.31% ▲ (+0.02)

3-0 @ 9% ▼ (-0.01)

3-1 @ 7.6% ▼ (-0.01)

4-0 @ 5.42% ▼ (-0.01)

4-1 @ 4.58% ▼ (-0.01)

3-2 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.01)

5-0 @ 2.61% ▼ (-0.01)

5-1 @ 2.2% ▼ (-0.01)

4-2 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.01)

6-0 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 4.36%

Total : 71.94%

Draw

1-1 @ 7.87% ▲ (+0.02)

2-2 @ 4% ▲ (+0.01)

0-0 @ 3.87% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 1.03%

Total : 16.76%

Aberystwyth Town

1-2 @ 3.32% ▲ (+0.01)

0-1 @ 3.27% ▲ (+0.01)

0-2 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.01)

2-3 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 2.2%

Total : 11.29%

Head to Head

Aug 16, 2024 8.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT Park Avenue Ground

Frankie Ealing 7'
Liam Walsh 60'
John Owen 76'
Rhys Davies 81'

Lifumpa Mwandwe 54'
Rhys Hughes 56'
Lifumpa Mwandwe 66'
Ben Nash 78'

Oct 6, 2023 8.00pm

1

1

HT : 1 1

FT Park Avenue Ground

John Owen 45'+1'
Billy Kirkman 63'

Jordan Davies 41'
John Disney 71'

Aug 18, 2023 7.45pm

4

0

HT : 4 0

FT Deeside College Stadium

Josh Williams 23'
Callum Bratley 29'
Jordan Davies 38'
Josh Williams 45'+1'
Callum Bratley 61'
Callum Bratley 69'
Harry Franklin 90'+4'

Eric Yahaya 45'+3'
Alex Darlington 76'
Beau Cornish 90'+3'

Dec 20, 2022 7.45pm

3

0

HT : 1 0

FT Deeside College Stadium

Harry Franklin 7'
Michael Wilde 90'
Michael Wilde 90'+4'

Sep 16, 2022 8.00pm

2

1

HT : 0 0

FT Park Avenue Ground

Harry Arnison 54'
Jack Thorn 82'

Sam Litchfield 67' (OG)

Apr 23, 2022 12.45pm

1

1

HT : 0 1

FT

Jack Thorn 61'
Cameron Allen 76'

Craig Curran 39'
Neal Eardley 90'+2'

Form Data

Caernarfon 3 - 1 Connah's Quay

Connah's Quay 1 - 1 Newtown

Cardiff MU 2 - 1 Connah's Quay

Connah's Quay 0 - 1 Pen-y-Bont

Connah's Quay 1 - 2 Barry

Briton Ferry 1 - 5 Connah's Quay

Barry 1 - 0 Aberystwyth

Aberystwyth 1 - 2 Cardiff MU

Aberystwyth 0 - 3 Haverfordwest

Bala Town 3 - 0 Aberystwyth

Aberystwyth 0 - 2 Flint Town

New Saints 2 - 0 Aberystwyth