Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 9
Sep 24, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Deeside College Stadium
Newtown logo

Connah's Quay
1 - 1
Newtown

Hughes (32')
Edwards (35'), Edwards (54')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Williams (45+1')
Evans (4'), Sutton (61')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Newtown AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Last Game: Cardiff MU 2-1 Connah's Quay
Saturday, September 21 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Bala Town 2-2 Newtown
Friday, September 20 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 50.67%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-2 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawNewtown AFC
50.67% (0.15 0.15)23.4% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)25.93% (-0.15 -0.15)
Both teams to score 57.94% (-0.137 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.93% (-0.116 -0.12)43.07% (0.11 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.53% (-0.113 -0.11)65.47% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.91% (0.010000000000005 0.01)17.09% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.71% (0.021999999999998 0.02)47.29% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.88% (-0.178 -0.18)30.12% (0.172 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.74% (-0.21400000000001 -0.21)66.26% (0.208 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 50.67%
    Newtown AFC 25.93%
    Draw 23.4%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawNewtown AFC
2-1 @ 9.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.1% (0.049000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.03% (0.047 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.68% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.73% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.41% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.51% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.09% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 50.67%
1-1 @ 10.91% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.15% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.4%
1-2 @ 6.55% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.71% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.62% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.48% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 25.93%

Head to Head
Mar 29, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 7
Connah's Quay
0-0
Newtown
Edwards (59')
Cowans (13'), Roberts (38')
Feb 10, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Newtown
2-3
Connah's Quay
Oswell (9', 59')
Evans (51'), Ismail (58'), Sears (81'), Wycherley (85'), Downs (87')
Davies (27', 45+3'), Kenny (53')
Poole (19'), Harrington (45+1'), Firth (73')
Dec 26, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Newtown
1-2
Connah's Quay
Sears (90+5')
Sutton (53'), Roberts (72')
Morris (85'), Davies (90+2')
Harrington (19'), Kenny (21')
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Connah's Quay
3-1
Newtown
Davies (2'), Nash (63'), Franklin (66')
Disney (18'), Harrington (88')
Hughes (15')
Evans (52'), Hughes (90')
Mar 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Connah's Quay
2-0
Newtown
Morris (50' pen.), Kenny (70')