Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 66.55%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Briton Ferry had a probability of 15.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 1-0 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for a Briton Ferry win it was 1-2 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Connah's Quay Nomads in this match.