Welsh Premier League Gameweek 14
Oct 27, 2024 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Deeside College Stadium
  • Rhys Hughes 34' goal
  • Noah Edwards 37' goal
  • Keiran Williams 71' yellowcard
  • Declan Poole 90'+1' redcard
  • yellowcard Kian Jenkins 33'
  • yellowcard Ricky-Lee Owen 49'
  • goal Kian Jenkins 67'
  • yellowcard Declan Poole 71'

Connah's Quay Nomads vs Briton Ferry - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Oct 15, 2024 7.45pm
Bala Town 0 - 0 Connah's Quay
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Rhys Hughes

Briton Ferry

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Oct 15, 2024 7.45pm
Briton Ferry 1 - 2 Haverfordwest
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Luke Bowen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 66.55%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Briton Ferry had a probability of 15.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 1-0 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for a Briton Ferry win it was 1-2 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Connah's Quay Nomads in this match.

Result

Connah's Quay Nomads 66.55% (-0.23)
Draw 18.23% (+0.16)
Briton Ferry 15.22% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.48% (-0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5 65.84% (-0.67)
Under 2.5 34.16% (+0.67)
Over 3.5 43.95% (-0.76)
Under 3.5 56.05% (+0.76)
Over 4.5 25.4% (-0.65)
Under 4.5 74.6% (+0.64)

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5 90.47% (-0.24)
Under 0.5 9.53% (+0.23)
Over 1.5 68.06% (-0.55)
Under 1.5 31.93% (+0.55)

Briton Ferry Goals

Over 0.5 64.64% (-0.36)
Under 0.5 35.36% (+0.36)
Over 1.5 27.88% (-0.37)
Under 1.5 72.12% (+0.37)

Score analysis

Connah's Quay Nomads 66.55%
Draw 18.23%
Briton Ferry 15.22%
Connah's Quay Nomads
2-1 @ 9.68% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 9.31% (+0.13)
1-0 @ 7.92% (+0.19)
3-1 @ 7.58% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 7.3% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 4.46% (-0.08)
4-0 @ 4.29% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.94% (-0.07)
4-2 @ 2.32% (-0.07)
5-1 @ 2.1% (-0.06)
5-0 @ 2.02% (-0.04)
5-2 @ 1.09% (-0.05)
Other @ 4.56%
Total : 66.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.24% (+0.12)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 3.37% (+0.12)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 18.23%
Briton Ferry
1-2 @ 4.28% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 3.5% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 1.82% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.48% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 15.22%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2024 2.30pm
1
5
HT : 1 1
FT Old Road
  • Luke Bowen 5' goal
  • Alex Gammond 22' yellowcard
  • Tyler Brock 30' yellowcard
  • Luke Bowen 39' yellowcard
  • Kristian Evans 79' yellowcard
  • goal Lifumpa Mwandwe 14'
  • goal John Disney 50'
  • goal Aron Williams 51'
  • goal Rhys Hughes 72'
  • goal Tyler Berry 89'