Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 14

Oct 27, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Deeside College Stadium

Connah's Quay
2 - 1
Briton Ferry

Hughes (34'), Edwards (37')
Williams (71')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Jenkins (67')
Jenkins (33'), Owen (49'), Poole (71')

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Briton Ferry.

Form, Standings, Stats

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions

Last Game: Bala Town 0-0 Connah's Quay
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Briton Ferry

All competitions

Last Game: Briton Ferry 1-2 Haverfordwest
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 66.55%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Briton Ferry had a probability of 15.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 1-0 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for a Briton Ferry win it was 1-2 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Connah's Quay Nomads in this match.

Result
Connah's Quay Nomads	Draw	Briton Ferry
66.55% ( -0.22)	18.23% ( 0.16)	15.22% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 58.48% (

-0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.84% (

-0.66)

34.16% (

0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.95% (

-0.75)

56.05% (

0.75)

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.47% (

-0.23)

9.53% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.06% (

-0.55)

31.93% (

0.54)

Briton Ferry Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.64% (

-0.35)

35.36% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.88% (

-0.37)

72.12% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

Connah's Quay Nomads 66.55%

Briton Ferry 15.22%

Draw 18.23%

Connah's Quay Nomads	Draw	Briton Ferry
2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.31% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) Other @ 4.56% Total : 66.55%	1-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.23% Total : 18.23%	1-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 15.22%