Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 13
Oct 15, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Old Road

Briton Ferry
1 - 2
Haverfordwest

Jenkins (31')
Gammond (19'), Demery (35'), Price (38'), Dyer (48'), Bowen (56')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Jones (11'), Jenkins (55')
Shepherd (20'), Ahmun (63')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Briton Ferry and Haverfordwest County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Briton Ferry

All competitions
Last Game: Barry 3-1 Briton Ferry
Saturday, October 12 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Haverfordwest County

All competitions
Last Game: Haverfordwest 0-0 Connah's Quay
Saturday, October 12 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 63.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Briton Ferry had a probability of 15.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.44%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Briton Ferry win it was 1-0 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.

Result
Briton FerryDrawHaverfordwest County
15.71% (-0.143 -0.14)21.08% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)63.22% (0.16 0.16)
Both teams to score 49.6% (-0.274 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.64% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2)46.36% (0.196 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.36% (-0.183 -0.18)68.64% (0.185 0.19)
Briton Ferry Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.69% (-0.31 -0.31)42.31% (0.309 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.3% (-0.265 -0.27)78.7% (0.267 0.27)
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.98% (-0.012 -0.01)14.02% (0.013 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.43% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)41.57% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Briton Ferry 15.71%
    Haverfordwest County 63.2%
    Draw 21.07%
Briton FerryDrawHaverfordwest County
1-0 @ 5.1% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-1 @ 4.31% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-0 @ 2.2% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.24% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.22% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 15.71%
1-1 @ 10.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.93% (0.049 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.24% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 21.07%
0-1 @ 11.65% (0.09 0.09)
0-2 @ 11.44% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 9.85% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 7.5% (0.051 0.05)
1-3 @ 6.45% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 3.68% (0.023 0.02)
1-4 @ 3.17% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.77% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-5 @ 1.45% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.36% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.25% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 63.2%