Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 14
Oct 27, 2024 at 1pm UK
Park Avenue Ground

Aberystwyth
2 - 4
New Saints

Arnison (19'), Hartley (72')
Davies (24'), Owen (90')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Oteh (2' pen.), Baker (42'), Davies (45' og.), McManus (90+6')
Oteh (31'), Canavan (52')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and The New Saints.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Caernarfon 1-4 Aberystwyth
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

The New Saints

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 2-0 Astana
Thursday, October 24 at 8pm in Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 77.01%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 8.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10%) and 1-2 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.71%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 2-1 (2.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawThe New Saints
8.65% (0.113 0.11)14.34% (0.351 0.35)77.01% (-0.45699999999999 -0.46)
Both teams to score 50.51% (-0.992 -0.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.65% (-1.45 -1.45)33.35% (1.459 1.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.88% (-1.681 -1.68)55.12% (1.687 1.69)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.36% (-0.826 -0.83)45.64% (0.834 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.56% (-0.657 -0.66)81.44% (0.664 0.66)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.92% (-0.401 -0.4)7.08% (0.409 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.18% (-1.09 -1.09)25.82% (1.097 1.1)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 8.65%
    The New Saints 77%
    Draw 14.34%
Aberystwyth TownDrawThe New Saints
2-1 @ 2.63% (0.025 0.02)
1-0 @ 2.53% (0.135 0.14)
2-0 @ 0.99% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 0.91% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 8.65%
1-1 @ 6.71% (0.215 0.22)
2-2 @ 3.48% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.23% (0.242 0.24)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 14.34%
0-2 @ 11.32% (0.37 0.37)
0-3 @ 10% (0.112 0.11)
1-2 @ 8.88% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
0-1 @ 8.55% (0.463 0.46)
1-3 @ 7.84% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-4 @ 6.62% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-4 @ 5.19% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-5 @ 3.51% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-3 @ 3.08% (-0.109 -0.11)
1-5 @ 2.75% (-0.159 -0.16)
2-4 @ 2.04% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-6 @ 1.55% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-6 @ 1.21% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-5 @ 1.08% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 77%

Head to Head
Sep 3, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
New Saints
2-0
Aberystwyth
Williams (59'), Canavan (90+1')
Hudson (65'), Woollam (76'), Canavan (77')
Nov 28, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 17
Aberystwyth
1-3
New Saints
Cadwallader (3')
Hogan (30'), Bradford (45+2'), Owen (45+2'), H (56'), Taylor (85')
Davies (45+7'), Young (57' pen.), Darlington (76' og.)
Young (70')
Sep 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
New Saints
6-0
Aberystwyth
Canavan (11', 75'), Clark (43'), Cieslewicz (66' pen.), Holden (89'), Astles (90+4')

Cornish (21')
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
New Saints
11-0
Aberystwyth
Davies (13', 37'), Dafydd (89', 65'), Williams (89'), Wilson (40'), Smith (45+1'), Cieslewicz (55', 60'), Brobbel (66'), Clark (80')
Aug 30, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 4
Aberystwyth
0-2
New Saints

Flint (33'), Horwood (76')
Clark (49'), McManus (79')
rhs 2.0


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